I was feeling really good. Both hives made it through the winter and spring is almost here. Went out today and only one hive is active. One of the hives is dead. I took the top off and banged it around and nothing. I suspect that this last cold spell may have done it in. I haven't had a chance to look into the hive (hopefully in the morning I can), but I suspect that they had brood and tried to cover it up and the temperature got down to 24F the other day and froze them out. That's happened to me before. However, the other hive is going balls to the wall.
Last year, the hives swarmed the first week or so in April. So I'm thinking that it's too late to do a split on the remaining hive, they've probably decided to swarm. I'm going to set up a baited swarm hive trap in the usual place (both swarms last year went to a dogwood tree around 50 feet from the hives) and hope if it swarms, they will just go into the box and be happy.
My question is, if the hive is preparing to swarm, doing a split won't prevent that, right? I would just be left with two really weak hives and a swarm. Is that right?
Does my plan to catch the swarm sound feasible?
I know that if I can look in the hive in the morning, I'll have more information, but I'm just mulling over possibilities tonight.
Please give me your thoughts.
Oh, here's some additional information: The two swarms last year were from two nucs I had started. After the swarms, one of the nucs died out, but one of them made it through the winter, but it is the one that just died. The hive that's happy and healthy is the swarm that I caught in the new swarm vacuum I got last year.