Scott said "I have very often seen a late queen act just like a May or June queen, in that she really ramps up production even if it is late in the season. As days shorten and temps fall she will drastically cut back. They typically do not swarm. I am not saying it is not possible, but in general the new queens strong pheromone along with the lateness of the season and usually a bit of a dearth where nectar is not coming in at a high rate like it does in spring will usually convince them that swarming isnt the best idea."
I think I have that situation going on in two of my hives this late in the season. I 've seen a lot of repeated supercedure in all but one hive (3 hives) this year.
Too date, I'm still seeing plenty of orientation flights.