I have the reducers on my hives with the larger opening. If one is being strongly probed or has robbing going on this time of year, there is a decent probability that the target hive has queen issues and we don't get so cold that the small opening is needed for warmth. If I saw the number of dead bees out front that you are seeing, I would be concerned IF you mean that you have seen this many dragged out in a short period. If that is your estimate of removals for the season so far, it would still be significant, but not quite as worrisome if the hive had a really large population going into winter. Not saying that this is your problem, but if a hive has issues with parasitic mite syndrome, a strong hive can collapse in just a couple of weeks.