I got to thinking about this when I was reading the thread on nucs. I can take some brood frames and shake the bees off, put them above a queen excluder, put the box back on the hive and wait a few days. In theory, some of the nurse bees will go up to the top box, and the queen, workers, and remaining nurse bees will stay on the bottom. Then I should be able to move the top box and have a split.
What I was thinking was, what if I moved the bottom box several feet away (I don't have any other bee yards), but left them closed up for a couple of days. My thinking is that when I let them out, some of them will reorient to the new location, and maybe some of them will return to the old location. Am I off base here? What if I didn't close them up? Would ALL the foragers return to the original location? If so, what would that do to the box that was moved? There's the topic for the day.

Edit: Oh, if they swarmed around April 12th last year, do you think this is early enough to prevent swarming this year?